Achakulwisut, P., Erickson, P., Guivarch, C. et al. Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions. Nat Commun

Objective:

• Explore what the AR6-assessed scenarios consistent with limiting global warming to 2 °C or below say about the speed, trajectory, and feasibility of different global coal, oil and gas reduction pathways and why

Case:

• Global countries

Methodology:

• IAMs: AIM, COFFEE, GCAM, GEM-E3, IMAGE, MESSAGE, POLES, REMIND, TIAM, and WITCH
• CART
• ANOVA and k-means

Data Source

• IPCC AR6 WGIII scenarios database

Findings:

• A strong concensus in the AR6-assessed scenarios that global supply and demand of coal, oil, and gas need to decline sustantially and rapidly between now and 2050 to limit warming to 1.5 °C

Coding Reference:

• R