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Bruninx, K., Ovaere, M. COVID-19, Green Deal and recovery plan permanently change emissions and prices in EU ETS Phase IV. Nat Commun

Objective:

  • Provide numerical estimates of the impact of overlapping policies and shocks on cumulative emissions over the lifetime of EU ETS

Case:x

  • EU

Methodology:

  • EU-ETS-MRS simulation model

Data Source

  • Emission

Findings:

  • Allowance prices might increase to 49-94 €/t CO2 and reduce cumulative carbon emissions to 14.2-18.3 GtCO2 compared to 23.5-33.1 GtCO2 under the 2018 EU ETS and MSR design

Coding Reference: