Gao, J., Bukovsky, M.S. Urban land patterns can moderate population exposures to climate extremes over the 21st century. Nat Commun

Objective:

• Analyze three future scenarios combining different climate, land use, and population conditions at the end of the 21st century for spatial population exposures to the four climate extremes at a 25-km resolution

Case:

• Continentall US

Methodology:

• Simulation

Data Source

• Weather Research and Forecasting
• SSP
• Land use: CLUBS-SELECT
• CAPE

Findings:

• Make population exposure to hot days 13.6 times the BOC level, cold days 1.1 times, heavy railfalls 7.5 times and STE 2.5 times

• Exposures in non-urban areas decrease and urbanization can increase an average individual’s exposure to climate extremes

• Urban land effects can decrease as well as increase population exposures to climate extremes

Coding Reference:

• Upon request