He, X., Ou, S., Gan, Y. et al. Greenhouse gas consequences of the China dual credit policy. Nat Commun

Objective:

• Evaluate the Dual Credit policy for reducing GHG emissions in transport sector in China

Case:

• China

Methodology:

• IAM: NEOCC and China Vehilce Fleet model

Data Source

• Energy and emission

Findings:

• Automakers in China will face increasing difficulty in meeting the Dual Credit policy before 2030s

• The NEV will increase its market share but the ICEV will still dominate the passenger vehicle stock through 2040

• Total GHG emissions of the Chinese passenger vehicle will not peak until 2032; but the GHG peak would be brought to 2028 if the GHG emissions of electricity used by BEVs are properly accounted for in the Dual Credit policy

Coding Reference:

• Upon request