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Hsu, A., Tan, J., Ng, Y.M. et al. Performance determinants show European cities are delivering on climate mitigation. Nat. Clim. Chang. 10, 1015–1022 (2020))

Objective:

  • In achiving reductions, the underlying drivers, whether policy or efficiency improvements could not be distinguished

Case:

  • EU cities

Methodology:

  • Reduction for cities: $reduction_{irc} = \lambda + \alpha plan +\beta city + \delta country + \gamma_c + \epsilon_i$
  • STM: Topic modeling

Data Source

  • Carbon emission: EUCoM
  • Population: World Bank
  • GDP: OECD

Findings:

  • The largest emissions sectors are transport, residential and industry
  • 60% of the evaluated cities are on track to achieving their 2020 emission reduction goal assuming a linear projection
  • Compared to not on track cities, on track cities have slightly higher per capita baseline emissions, lower inventory emissions
  • 42% of the evaluated cities committed to emissions reduction targets that are considered ambitious
  • The ambition of a climate change commitment is negatively associated with GHG emission reduction
  • Six major thematic areas of climate policy: residential buildings and urban planning measures, cross-sectoral integration, energy efficiency actions, mobility and public transport, buildings and public lighting, municipal administration
  • 10% increase in energy effciency is associated with an increase of 0.22 % reduction in per capita emissions; higher impacts in cities with lesser GDP per capita and population

Coding Reference: