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Liu, H., Meng, ZH., Lv, ZF. et al. Emissions and health impacts from global shipping embodied in US–China bilateral trade. Nat Sustain 2, 1027–1033 (2019)

Objective:

  • Trace shipping emissions of 4482 vessel calls back to the US-China bilateral trade of 12346 sub categories

Case:

  • China and US

Methodology:

  • Shipping emission: shipping emission inventory model
  • Air quality: GEOS-Chem chemical transport model

Data Source

  • Country-level trade: China custom statistics yearbook
  • Shipping data: STSD and AIS
  • Commodity: marine logistics information platform

Findings:

  • Sea transport is responsible for 99.1% of the US-China trade
  • In 2016 trade between the US and China constituted 3.4% of the world’s trade, and resulted in 2.5% of global shipping emission
  • Shipping emissions embodied in China-US exports are 41-48% higher than US-China exports
  • The mortality in China accounted for 64.4% of the total global deaths induced by shipping emissions in the US-China trade, while little impact was found in the United states because of the sparser population compared to China
  • Maritime transport could increase the traditional trade-related emissions with an increment of 20% in the US-China bilateral trade

Coding Reference:

  • Upon request