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Müller-Casseres, E., Leblanc, F., van den Berg, M. et al. International shipping in a world below 2 °C. Nat. Clim. Chang

Objective:

  • Explore possible futures of international shipping in terms of energy carriers and CO2 emissions and IAM framework.

Case:

  • Global

Methodology:

  • IAM
    • COFFEE: land use
    • IMACLIM-R: CGE
    • IMAGE: energy
    • PROMETHEUS: energy
    • TIAM-UCL: energy
    • WITCH: Syn

Data Source

Findings:

  • Higher emissions are associated with strong avtivity growth and more pessimistic effciency assumptions
  • Technology-detailed models indicate reductions relative to the 2020 level.
  • With a carbon budget of 600 GtCO2, reductions are more pronounced in 2050

Coding Reference: