Chen, G., Li, X., Liu, X. et al. Global projections of future urban land expansion under shared socioeconomic pathways. Nat Commun

Objective:

• Understand of how urban land change will affect other land covers

Case:

• Global grids

Methodology:

• FLUS model
• CA

Data Source

• Climate scenario: IPCC
• SSPs
• Land projection 2015-2100
• Population: GHSL
• WorldBank and United Nations

Findings:

• SSP5 yields a monotonously increasing trend and the greatest urban land use areas

• Significant sectors include energy generation, resource extaction and manufacturing industries
• On the contraty, the increase of saving rates in China reduced carbon emissions in agricultural and service sectors

• Saving rate increase led to 168.6 Mt of industrial CO2 emission increments, also leadting increase in other countries
• Positive correlation between China’s saving rate and CO2 emission

• A 15% decrease in the saving rate of Chinese region can reduce 323 Mt (1.2%) global carbon emission

Coding Reference:

• Not applicable