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Understanding log regression

log-log regression

  • Using natural logs for variables on both sides of the OLS equation is called a log-log model. This model is handy when the relationship is non-linear in parameters.
  • In principle, any log transformation can be used to transform a model that;s a nonlinear in parameters into a linear one

  • Consider a basic function: $Y_i = \alpha X_i^{\beta}$
  • If you take the natural log of both sides: $ ln Y_i = ln \alpha + \beta ln X_i $
    • $ln \alpha$ is treated as the intercept
    • The model ends up with: $ln Y_i = {\beta}_0 + {\beta}_1 ln X_i $
  • Interprete the coefficients:
    • $\frac{\delta Y}{Y} = {\beta}_1 \frac{\delta X}{X}$
    • The term on the right-hand side is the percentage change in $X$; and the term on the left-hand side is the percentage change in Y, so
    • ${\beta}_1$ measures the elasticity

semi-log regression

  • For the equation: $ ln Y_i = \alpha + \beta X_i $
    • $\frac{\delta Y}{Y} = \delta X$
    • The term on the right-hand side is the unit change in $X$; and the term on the left-hand side is the percentage change in Y,
  • For the equation: $ Y_i = \alpha + \beta ln X_i $
    • $\delta Y = \frac{\delta X}{X}$
    • The term on the right-hand side is the percentage change in $X$; and the term on the left-hand side is the unit change in Y,

Marginal effects

  • However, the percentage change ((semi-)elasticity) can only capture the correlation between $X$ and $Y$. It can’t represent the importance of indicators
  • If we want to measure the importance, The elasticity should be transformed into marginal impacts
    • $Margin = X * elasticity$