Kosowska-Stamirowska, Zuzanna. Network effects govern the evolution of maritime trade. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117.23 (2020)

Objective:

• Introduce tools to model maritime trade flows and simulate the effects of potential shocks or changes to the system at local, regional and global scale

Case:

• Global

Methodology:

• AutoML
• OLS

Data Source

• Daily movements of ships
• Port throught
• GDP and population

Findings:

• Models relying on features of the pure network topology, in some cases augmented by additional information on sea distances, are the most powerful for predicting link creating and estimating trade flows in maritime

Coding Reference:

• Not applicable