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Li, W., Schmidt, S., & Siedentop, S. (2024). Can polycentric urban development simultaneously achieve both economic growth and regional equity

Objective:

  • Examine whether or not polycentric development can result in greater economic growth and fewer regional inequalities

Case:

  • German urban regions; 2007 and 2017

Methodology:

  • Indicators
    • functional polycentric: $P_f (n) = (1-\sigma_f / \sigma_{max}) * \Delta$
    • Morphological polycentricity: rank-size distribution, $ln(rank) = \alpha + \beta ln(size)$
  • Outcomes:
    • Population-weighted Gini, Coefficient of variation and Gini
    • GDP
  • Method:
    • OLS
    • 2SLS: historical degreee of polycentricity measured by municipality population and derivative of elevation

Data Source

  • Commuting flow

Findings:

  • A trend of increasing polycentricity from northeast to southwest
  • Functional polycentricity can effectively reduce regional inequalities
  • A larger population in 2007, higher proportion of educated workers and increased physical investment are positively associated with economic growth
  • Functional polycentricity and Morphological polycentricity may not produce greater economic productivity
  • Districts situated in more polycentric urban regions exhibit higher economic productivity than those in monocentric regions (borrowed size effect)
  • Interaction term: increase in polycentricity in 2017 leads to economic growth in periphery but a loss for urban cores
  • Polycentricity leads to win-loss outcomes

Coding Reference:

  • Not applicable