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Welch, Nathan G., and Adrian E. Raftery. Probabilistic forecasts of international bilateral migration flows. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119.35 (2022)

Objective:

  • Forecast global human migration flow

Case:

  • Global

Methodology:

  • Probabilistic and Bayesian hierarchical model

Data Source

  • Historical migration: Gulf Cooperation Council
  • United Nations

Findings:

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Coding Reference: